Seventeen doesn’t get the buzz that its odd-number counterparts 7-11, Lucky 13 and Product 19 get. When it comes to NFL Survivor Pools, though, the number 17 might as well be numeric royalty.
In the past, I’ve tried my hand at fantasy football which is fun but can be extremely addictive. This season, I’m trying something new: a Survivor Pool. Essentially, it’s a one-and-done contest where I’ll pick one team to win its game each week. Once a team is picked, I can’t pick them again for the remainder of the season.
So this football season, Section 426 will attempt to do what 5 MLB players did this season: be successful exactly 17 games in a row without “screwing up.” I’ll give you my weekly picks here and support my selection with the statistics you know I love.
For Week 1, I’m picking my hometown Philadelphia Eagles to beat the Jacksonville Jaguars.
Statistical Mismatch: Eagles 1st out of 32 in rushing yards – Jaguars 29th in rushing yards allowed:
- RB LeSean McCoy led the NFL last year in rushing attempts and yards. Even with the heavy workload, he still managed the fourth-highest yards/rush attempt among qualified RBs in the league.
- RB Darren Sproles, a free agent acquisition this offseason, should help take some of the load off McCoy. Among running backs in 2013, Sproles had the third-most targets and fourth-most receptions in the NFL.
Needless to say Sproles’ presence gives Chip Kelly’s offense another speedy weapon. Just imagine the Jaguars’ defense seeing both McCoy and Sproles in the backfield at the same time. It could happen.
Speaking of the Jags’ defense, they allowed at least 100 yards rushing in 10 of their 16 games last season. By comparison, the Eagles defense which was by no means a strength of theirs last season, allowed half as many 100-yard rushing games. The difference being that the Eagles offense was potent enough most weeks to withstand a leaky defense. Last season, the Jaguars’ offense was 31st in the NFL in total yards and dead last in points scored. So they’ve got that going for them too.
Yeah I feel good about this pick.
Prediction: Eagles 35, Jaguars 7
What do you think? Will this Eagles selection doom my chances of Survivor Pool glory? Who would/did you take this week in your Survivor Pool? I’d love to hear your picks.