Tag Archives: fantasy football

Football Pools: As Fun As Fantasy Leagues

I gaze out the living room window on a surprisingly cool and rainy late August morning. I just finished my second cup of coffee and I’m feeling a bit relieved. Not only because I sidestepped a caffeine (or lack of caffeine) headache one more day, but because I’m not playing in a Fantasy Football league this year.

Like many fantasy gamers, I have an undiagnosed case of FFOCD (Fantasy Football Obsessive-Compulsive Disorder). This year, however, I sought help for the debilitating disorder. Well not really help in the classic sense of the term. I just decided not to join a Fantasy league. Instead, I organized a less time-consuming football pool – there’s a favorite and an underdog, the favorite “gives points” to the underdog, pick who wins the game. That’s it.

Now it wouldn’t be a Section 426 post without an attempt at number-crunching, would it? With the first game of the regular season nine days away, I’ll try to predict 2017 Week 1 performance based on Week 1 performances from 2016 and 2015. Apples and oranges (and bananas) you say? Maybe not.

Featured Pick

Atlanta Falcons over Chicago Bears (+7)

Chicago was a 6.5-point “home dog” in 2015 to Green Bay and they lost 31 – 23. They were a 4.5-point underdog in Houston last year and lost 23 – 14. The Bears just lost their primary WR, Cameron Meredith, for the season. Here’s why that’s important. According to Pro Football Reference, Meredith led the team with 77 targets for nearly 750 yards and 3 TDs between the 20s (in other words, a majority of the field). Who’s going to pick up the slack for the Bears? TE Zach Miller? Maybe. In comparison, Miller was targeted 49 times for almost 400 yards and zero TDs between the 20s last year. Zach Miller has also not been what you’d call good in Week 1 the past two seasons. In 2015, he really wasn’t the featured TE, in the game for only 11 offensive plays. But last year he was in the game for 77% of offensive plays and caught 3 passes on 4 targets for 14 yards. One more thing about this game that I think is significant is Atlanta had a really horrible pass defense last year so they drafted Takkarist McKinley, a defensive end out of UCLA, who I see causing problems for a shaky starter in Mike Glennon.

Two words: Devonta Freeman. Five more words: Matt Ryan. Chip on shoulder.

Prediction: Atlanta 31, Chicago 17

Stay tuned for more Featured Picks throughout the season, unless I really botch this one.

Advertisements

DraftKings: Our 2 Cents on a $2 Payout

Like the phoenix that rises from the ashes, Section 426 returns to the fantasy field where we fell only a couple of months ago. Foregoing the long-term commitment of a sixteen-week NFL season, we turn to DraftKings, a FREE week-to-week fantasy football game that allows participants to pick their own players while staying under the $50K salary cap. The weekly winner takes home $2. In the event that our selected lineup is good but not good enough, that’s okay because the weekly top 5 finishers all get $2. I know what you’re wondering: since we do work with a low budget at Section 426, why do we take such big risks.

Every time we participate, we’ll show who we’re picking, how much they were drafted for, and some key notes regarding their season (for example, their NFL rank by position, their NFL opponent’s rank, etc.)

Here’s who we’ve chosen this week:

Philip Rivers $6,600 – 10th in NFL in passing yards, 6th in passer rating
DeMarco Murray $8,500 – 1st in NFL in rushing yards, 1st in carries over 20 yards, 1st in yards/game
Joique Bell $4,900 – 23rd in NFL in rushing yards
A.J. Green $7,300 – 49th in NFL in receiving yards (7 games played)
Josh Gordon $6,300 – 1st in NFL in receiving yards in 2013, 1st in receptions over 20 yards in 2013
Sammy Watkins $5,600 – 22nd in NFL in receiving yards in 2014, 19th in receiving targets
Zach Ertz $3,100
Darren Sproles $4,500 – 4 TD on 61 touches
Colts $3,200 – opponent is 2nd in NFL in Giveaways

What do you think? Can this lineup conquer all? Who would you have drafted? Let us know in the Comments section below.